Beware of Thucydides Trap and Avoid the Tragedy of Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict — A Brief Analysis of the Reasons for the Changes in the Diplomatic Situation Between China and Yugoslavia before the Establishment of the Socialist System in New China
Journal: Journal of Higher Education Research DOI: 10.32629/jher.v3i5.1056
Abstract
In modern and contemporary history, Yugoslavia once confirmed the existence of the "Thucydides Trap", and had disagreements and conflicts with the socialist camp led by the Soviet Union. Therefore, Yugoslavia's international status witnessed fluctuations several times. Taking this as a juncture, China, as a country that spared no efforts to avoid the "Thucydides Trap" and followed the path of peaceful development, was also inevitably affected. China had witnessed many twists and turns in diplomatic relations with Yugoslavia. With the rise and fall of Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict, China made corresponding adjustment in its diplomatic thought and practice. Against the backdrop of the current international arena, some people believe that China's rapid rise will inevitably lead to conflicts with the old hegemons such as the United States and Japan. However, as a matter of fact, there is no such thing as a "Thucydides Trap" in the world. However, continuous strategic miscalculation among major countries may create a "Thucydides Trap" for themselves. This paper aims to analyze the reasons for the changes in the diplomatic situation between the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia and between China and Yugoslavia before the establishment of the socialist system of New China through the case study method, and expounds the great significance of vigilance against "Thucydides Trap" for today's peaceful development world.
Keywords
Thucydides Trap, Yugoslavia, China
Full Text
PDF - Viewed/Downloaded: 5 TimesIndexation
Download Index RecordReferences
[2] Zhang Shengfa. New Research on the causes of conflict between the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia during 1948-1949. The Contemporary World Socialism Problem.2000; 1.
[3] Zhang Feng. Cold War and Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict. Chang 'an Science Periodical.2010; 2.
[4] Qi Dong.Discussion on the causes of Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict. Dajiang Weekly Forum.2009; 11.
[5] Hao Chengdun. Discussion on the common characteristics of Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict and Sino-Soviet hostility. International Forum.2003; 1.
[6] Resolution of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the question of the Yugoslavia Communist Party. People's Daily.1948-7-14-(1).
[7] Wang Yewei. The reflection and influence of the 1948 conflict between the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia on China's political situation.
[8] Gao Zhiping. Thirty Years of China's research on the Non-Aligned Movement.
[9] Hu Ye. The Chinese Communist Party's Foreign Policy towards Yugoslavia before and after Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict.
[10] [S] Translated by Vladimir Dedieres, Trans. Da Zhou. Hidden condition of Soviet Union and Yugoslavia's Conflict(1948-1953). Nanyue Publishing House; 1979.
[11] The resolution of the Intelligence Agency on the Yugoslavia Communist Party. People's Daily.1948-7-13-(1-2).
[12] Telegram from Popovak to Zhou Enlai (Translation) (October 6, 1949). Archives of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China and People's Pictorial Newspaper, Ed. Decrypting Diplomatic Documents: Archives of the establishment of diplomatic relations of the People's Republic of China (1949-1955). China Pictorial Publishing House; 2006.
[13] Telegram from the Central Government to Zhang Wentian on the establishment of diplomatic relations with Yugoslavia (October 18, 1954). Archives of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, PRC.
[14] Communique of the Governments of China and Yugoslavia on the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries (January 10, 1955). Archives of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, PRC.
[15](USA) Graham Allison. Doomed for a fight. Shanghai: Shanghai People's Publishing House; 2019.
Copyright © 2022 Zeyi Li
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License